[标准VOA]奥巴马麦凯恩旗鼓相当(1)[080623]

Polls Suggest Close Race Between Obama, McCain (1/2)

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Recent surveys give Senator Obama a lead of between three and six percentage points over Senator McCain with the election a little more than four months away.
　
Democrats are encouraged about their chances of winning back the White House this year after eight years of Republican control under President Bush.
　
But some Republicans are pleasantly surprised at the closeness of the race given the public's general unhappiness with the economy, the war in Iraq and Mr. Bush's tenure.
　
Quinnipiac University pollster Clay Richards says a large number of voters apparently have already made up their minds about which candidate to support in November.
　
"Between 75 and 80 percent of voters said that their minds are made up," he noted. "So, the campaign, at this very early point, may come down to a battle for about 20 to 25 percent of the voters, with the rest having already committed."

A recent Quinnipiac poll in three crucial battleground states in November found that economic concerns were pushing more working class voters to support Obama. Those states were Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, all expected to be competitive in November.

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参考译文：

距大选还有四个月的现今，最新调查结果显示参议员奥巴马领先参议员麦凯恩三至六个百分点。

经过八年以布什为首的共和党执政后，民主党因有望今年夺回白宫而深受鼓舞。

尽管公众普遍对经济，伊战和布什的任期表示不满，结果相近的竟选仍让一些共和党人惊喜交加。

格林尼治大学的民意调查者Clay Richards说很明显地，大部分选民已决定好在十一月支持哪一位候选人。

他解说道，鉴于百分之七十五至八十的选民已做好决定，这次尚处于初期的选举可说是一场百分之二十至二十五的选民之间的战争,因为剩下的已做出承诺。

格林尼治就十一月三大决定性州的最新民意调查结果表明经济议题正促使更多的工薪阶层选民支持奥巴马。这些州分别是俄亥俄，宾夕法尼亚和佛罗里达，均是在十一月的大选中被视为极富竟争力的州。

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